Guinea Likely To Experience A Significant Increase In The Role Extra-Government Non-State Actors Play Over Next Five Years
Executive Summary:
Due to high levels of government corruption and instability, minimal levels of democracy, and a moderate ease of conducting business, it is likely that extra-government non-state actors (NSAs), such as the rebel groups and warlords from neighboring countries, currently play the most influential but still moderate role within Guinea (represented by its score of 3 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role NSAs play within Guinea will increase to a significant level. This increase in unlawful NSA activity is primarily due to government efforts to rid the country of organizations it finds threatening to its power, such as NGOs, and to the increase in the amount of corruption within businesses, which has led to a decrease in foreign direct investment.
Guinea Likely To Experience A Significant Increase In The Role Extra-Government Non-State Actors Play Over Next Five Years
Executive Summary:
Due to high levels of government corruption and instability, minimal levels of democracy, and a moderate ease of conducting business, it is likely that extra-government non-state actors (NSAs), such as the rebel groups and
Analytic Confidence: 8
Source Reliability: 9
Discussion: